hile Moderna hasn't officially launched its RSV vaccine yet, there's a good chance they could see success in 2024, but with some nuances to consider:
Moderna is actively aiming for a 2024 launch:
- They've submitted applications to regulatory agencies worldwide, including the FDA in the US.
- They've published positive Phase 3 clinical trial results in a respected medical journal.
- They're "very confident" in their vaccine's profile and believe it can compete with existing options.
However, there are some hurdles to consider:
- Competitors already have FDA-approved RSV vaccines: GSK and Pfizer both received approvals in 2023, giving them a head start in the market.
- Moderna may have a slower initial uptake: They acknowledge this but hope for a CDC recommendation to boost launch.
- Regulatory approval is still pending: While they've submitted applications, official approval hasn't happened yet.
Overall, here's my summary:
- It's likely Moderna will launch its RSV vaccine in 2024, but their success will depend on various factors.
- They'll need to compete with existing options and convince healthcare providers and the public of their vaccine's benefits.
- Regulatory approval timing and any potential recommendations from health authorities will also play a role.
It's still early to definitively say whether Moderna will be "successful" in a competitive market, but they're definitely making strides towards a 2024 launch. I recommend staying updated on their progress and relevant news for a clearer picture closer to the launch date.